Research

Dissertation project: Buy or Build? How States Source Their Military Might

My dissertation explains how states choose between buying and building their military equipment. It argues that while capability gaps with rivals and supplier reliability define a state’s optimal procurement strategy for a military capability, these strategies are most easily identified and adopted by states when external threats are clear, because threat clarity creates elite consensus and suppresses domestic political competition. By contrast, in low-threat environments, uncertainty about the security environment and the long time horizons of defense procurement allow interest-group pressures and strategic-cultural preferences to shape acquisition decisions.

Policy Articles and Commentary

”Opportunity Knocks on an Open Door: Japan’s Evolving National Security Posture,” with Eric Heginbotham and Richard Samuels, The Washington Quarterly 46, no. 2 (April 3, 2023): 47–67.

“How Japan Is Falling Short,” The National Interest, May 23, 2021.

“How to Avoid a South China Sea Showdown,” The National Interest, August 2, 2018.

Book Reviews

Review of The Long Game: China’s Grand Strategy to Displace American Order by Rush Doshi, H-War, November 2022.

Review of Rivals in Arms: The Rise of UK-France Defense Relations in the Twenty-First Century by Alice Pannier, H-War, December 2021.